BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Waverly-Shell Rock

Class: 3A Class Rank: 24 Conference: Northeast Iowa Record: (19-24-0) Overall: (49-47-0) Overall Strength =   73.87

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 08-31-2001 Home    W      88.40  32  30   2A  1 ( 93- 20-  0) North Fayette          14.74    -12.74                      
 2 09-07-2001 Away    W   * 106.81  21   0   3A  8 ( 70- 32-  0) West Delaware          33.14    -12.14                      
 3 09-14-2001 Home    L * *  76.02   0   6   3A 10 ( 77- 31-  0) Decorah                 2.36     -8.36                      
 4 09-21-2001 Away    W * *  98.50  37  13   3A 27 ( 47- 46-  0) Waukon                 24.84     -0.84                      
 5 09-28-2001 Away    W   *  69.50  27  14   3A 58 ( 16- 74-  0) Independence           -4.16     17.16                      
 6 10-05-2001 Home    W *    81.14  14  12   2A  4 ( 61- 39-  0) New Hampton             7.47     -5.47                      
 7 10-12-2001 Home    W * *  73.92  12  10   3A 25 ( 48- 47-  0) Oelwein                 0.26      1.74                      
 8 10-19-2001 Away    W * *  98.59  29   7   3A 21 ( 48- 46-  0) Cresco Crestwood       24.93     -2.93                      
 9 10-26-2001 Home    W      83.58  28   7   2A 23 ( 46- 51-  0) Waterloo Columbus       9.91     11.09                      
10 10-31-2001 Home    W   * 103.75  42  21   3A  8 ( 70- 32-  0) West Delaware          30.09     -9.09                      
11 11-05-2001 Away    L      47.09   0  27   3A 29 ( 50- 43-  0) Western Dubuque       -26.57     -0.43                      
12 09-06-2002 Home    W     102.40  28  12   2A  1 ( 93- 20-  0) North Fayette          28.74    -12.74                      
13 09-13-2002 Away    W * * 106.08  28   7   3A 10 ( 77- 31-  0) Decorah                32.42    -11.42                      
14 09-20-2002 Away    W      73.67  14   0   2A 37 ( 24- 66-  0) Forest City             0.01     13.99                      
15 09-27-2002 Home    W     104.58  48   6   2A 23 ( 46- 51-  0) Waterloo Columbus      30.91     11.09                      
16 10-04-2002 Away    W * * 105.47  40   6   3A 35 ( 46- 48-  0) Charles City           31.80      2.20                      
17 10-11-2002 Away    L *    57.19   6  31   2A  4 ( 61- 39-  0) New Hampton           -16.47     -8.53                      
18 10-18-2002 Home    W      96.75  40   6   3A 46 ( 41- 53-  0) Webster City           23.09     10.91                      
19 10-25-2002 Home    W     114.00  67  13   3A 51 ( 44- 51-  0) Hampton-Dumont         40.33     13.67                      
20 11-01-2002 Away    L      62.42   0  27   3A  4 ( 99- 17-  0) Clear Lake            -11.25    -15.75                      
21 09-05-2003 Away    W     115.45  39  13   2A  1 ( 93- 20-  0) North Fayette          41.79    -15.79                      
22 09-12-2003 Home    L * *  73.02   7  16   3A 10 ( 77- 31-  0) Decorah                -0.64     -8.36                      
23 09-19-2003 Home    W      90.62  40   6   2A 37 ( 24- 66-  0) Forest City            16.96     17.04                      
24 09-26-2003 Away    W      80.63  28  13   2A 23 ( 46- 51-  0) Waterloo Columbus       6.97      8.03                      
25 10-03-2003 Home    L * *  63.41   7  12   3A 35 ( 46- 48-  0) Charles City          -10.25      5.25                      
26 10-10-2003 Home    W *    82.14  22  19   2A  4 ( 61- 39-  0) New Hampton             8.47     -5.47                      
27 10-17-2003 Away    L      62.81  21  24   3A 46 ( 41- 53-  0) Webster City          -10.85      7.85                      
28 10-24-2003 Away    W      92.05  48  19   3A 51 ( 44- 51-  0) Hampton-Dumont         18.39     10.61                      
29 10-31-2003 Home    L      76.36  11  21   3A  4 ( 99- 17-  0) Clear Lake              2.70    -12.70                      
30 09-03-2004 Away    L      57.45   3  35   2A  1 ( 93- 20-  0) North Fayette         -16.21    -15.79                      
31 09-10-2004 Home    L      59.37  14  21   ZZ 17 ( 21- 16-  0) Iowa Falls            -14.29      7.29                      
32 09-17-2004 Home    L * *  57.44   6  20   3A 27 ( 47- 46-  0) Waukon                -16.22      2.22                      
33 09-24-2004 Away    L   *  52.50  15  19   3A 58 ( 16- 74-  0) Independence          -21.16     17.16                      
34 10-01-2004 Away    L * *  55.59   7  28   3A 21 ( 48- 46-  0) Cresco Crestwood      -18.07     -2.93                      
35 10-08-2004 Home    W *    82.14  17  14   2A  4 ( 61- 39-  0) New Hampton             8.47     -5.47                      
36 10-15-2004 Home    L * *  76.02   7  13   3A 10 ( 77- 31-  0) Decorah                 2.36     -8.36                      
37 10-22-2004 Away    W * *  75.47  19  15   3A 35 ( 46- 48-  0) Charles City            1.80      2.20                      
38 10-29-2004 Away    W * *  85.98  25  14   3A 25 ( 48- 47-  0) Oelwein                12.31     -1.31                      
39 09-02-2005 Home    L      40.40   0  46   2A  1 ( 93- 20-  0) North Fayette         -33.26    -12.74                      
40 09-09-2005 Away    W      85.91  34   7   2A 39 ( 21- 34-  0) Iowa Falls-Alden       12.25     14.75                      
41 09-16-2005 Away    L * *  47.50  13  40   3A 27 ( 47- 46-  0) Waukon                -26.16     -0.84                      
42 09-23-2005 Home    W   *  79.45  26   0   3A 58 ( 16- 74-  0) Independence            5.79     20.21                      
43 09-30-2005 Home    L * *  72.54  21  22 2 3A 21 ( 48- 46-  0) Cresco Crestwood       -1.13      0.13                      
44 10-07-2005 Away    L *    62.19  21  41   2A  4 ( 61- 39-  0) New Hampton           -11.47     -8.53                      
45 10-14-2005 Away    L * *  56.08  19  48   3A 10 ( 77- 31-  0) Decorah               -17.58    -11.42                      
46 10-21-2005 Home    L * *  53.41   6  21   3A 35 ( 46- 48-  0) Charles City          -20.25      5.25                      
47 10-28-2005 Home    L * *  52.92  13  32   3A 25 ( 48- 47-  0) Oelwein               -20.74      1.74                      
48 09-01-2006 Away    L      48.45   0  41   2A  1 ( 93- 20-  0) North Fayette         -25.21    -15.79                      
49 09-08-2006 Home    L   *  43.45  14  24   3A 58 ( 16- 74-  0) Independence          -30.21     20.21                      
50 09-15-2006 Away    L * *  59.59  13  30   3A 21 ( 48- 46-  0) Cresco Crestwood      -14.07     -2.93                      
51 09-22-2006 Home    L      49.36   6  43   3A  4 ( 99- 17-  0) Clear Lake            -24.30    -12.70                      
52 09-29-2006 Home    L *    74.14  10  15   2A  4 ( 61- 39-  0) New Hampton             0.47     -5.47                      
53 10-06-2006 Away    W      75.67  24   8   2A 37 ( 24- 66-  0) Forest City             2.01     13.99                      
54 10-13-2006 Away    L * *  32.50  13  55   3A 27 ( 47- 46-  0) Waukon                -41.16     -0.84                      
55 10-20-2006 Home    L * *  51.02   7  38   3A 10 ( 77- 31-  0) Decorah               -22.64     -8.36                      
56 10-27-2006 Away    L * *  64.47  21  28   3A 35 ( 46- 48-  0) Charles City           -9.20      2.20                      
57 08-31-2007 Home    L      66.40   0  20   2A  1 ( 93- 20-  0) North Fayette          -7.26    -12.74                      
58 09-07-2007 Away    W   *  98.50  42   0   3A 58 ( 16- 74-  0) Independence           24.84     17.16                      
59 09-14-2007 Home    W * *  86.54  13   0   3A 21 ( 48- 46-  0) Cresco Crestwood       12.87      0.13                      
60 09-21-2007 Away    W     103.42  21   7   3A  4 ( 99- 17-  0) Clear Lake             29.75    -15.75                      
61 09-28-2007 Away    W *   102.19  27   7   2A  4 ( 61- 39-  0) New Hampton            28.53     -8.53                      
62 10-05-2007 Home    W      90.62  54  20   2A 37 ( 24- 66-  0) Forest City            16.96     17.04                      
63 10-12-2007 Home    L * *  53.44  14  32   3A 27 ( 47- 46-  0) Waukon                -20.22      2.22                      
64 10-19-2007 Away    W * * 102.08  27  10   3A 10 ( 77- 31-  0) Decorah                28.42    -11.42                      
65 10-26-2007 Home    W * *  76.41  15   7   3A 35 ( 46- 48-  0) Charles City            2.75      5.25                      
66 10-31-2007 Home    W      78.58  10   7   3A 15 ( 55- 38-  0) Van Horne Benton        4.92     -1.92                      
67 11-06-2007 Neutral L      48.13  28  49   3A 36 ( 41- 55-  0) Tama South Tama       -25.53      4.53                      
68 08-29-2008 Away    L * *  65.08   7  27   3A 10 ( 77- 31-  0) Decorah                -8.58    -11.42  non-district        
69 09-05-2008 Home    L      67.40  13  32   2A  1 ( 93- 20-  0) North Fayette          -6.26    -12.74  non-district        
70 09-12-2008 Home    W      63.00  38  35   3A 51 ( 44- 51-  0) Hampton-Dumont        -10.67     13.67                      
71 09-19-2008 Away    L      53.42  12  48   3A  4 ( 99- 17-  0) Clear Lake            -20.25    -15.75                      
72 09-26-2008 Away    L      49.28  12  28   3A 47 ( 36- 56-  0) Algona                -24.38      8.38                      
73 10-03-2008 Home    L      55.75  14  21   3A 46 ( 41- 53-  0) Webster City          -17.91     10.91                      
74 10-10-2008 Home    W      62.62  35  29   2A 37 ( 24- 66-  0) Forest City           -11.04     17.04                      
75 10-17-2008 Away    L * *  58.47  20  33   3A 35 ( 46- 48-  0) Charles City          -15.20      2.20                      
76 10-24-2008 Away    W      60.91  29  27   2A 39 ( 21- 34-  0) Iowa Falls-Alden      -12.75     14.75                      
77 08-28-2009 Home    L * *  77.02   7  12   3A 10 ( 77- 31-  0) Decorah                 3.36     -8.36  nd                  
78 09-04-2009 Away    L      54.45  18  53   2A  1 ( 93- 20-  0) North Fayette         -19.21    -15.79  nd                  
79 09-11-2009 Away    L      50.05   6  19   3A 51 ( 44- 51-  0) Hampton-Dumont        -23.61     10.61                      
80 09-18-2009 Home    L      30.36   0  56   3A  4 ( 99- 17-  0) Clear Lake            -43.30    -12.70                      
81 09-25-2009 Home    W      81.22  34  15   3A 47 ( 36- 56-  0) Algona                  7.56     11.44                      
82 10-02-2009 Away    L      30.81   0  35   3A 46 ( 41- 53-  0) Webster City          -42.85      7.85                      
83 10-09-2009 Away    W      61.67  21  19   2A 37 ( 24- 66-  0) Forest City           -11.99     13.99                      
84 10-16-2009 Home    L * *  64.41  25  29   3A 35 ( 46- 48-  0) Charles City           -9.25      5.25                      
85 10-23-2009 Home    L      54.86  41  42   2A 39 ( 21- 34-  0) Iowa Falls-Alden      -18.80     17.80                      
86 08-27-2010 Home    W      92.53  48  14   2A 34 ( 37- 54-  0) Denver                 18.87     15.13  ND                  
87 09-03-2010 Away    W     110.63  48   3   2A 23 ( 46- 51-  0) Waterloo Columbus      36.97      8.03  ND                  
88 09-10-2010 Away    W   *  69.50  34  21   3A 58 ( 16- 74-  0) Independence           -4.16     17.16                      
89 09-17-2010 Home    W * *  81.92  24  14   3A 25 ( 48- 47-  0) Oelwein                 8.26      1.74                      
90 09-24-2010 Away    W * * 123.50  56   7   3A 27 ( 47- 46-  0) Waukon                 49.84     -0.84                      
91 10-01-2010 Home    W * * 130.54  57   0   3A 21 ( 48- 46-  0) Cresco Crestwood       56.87      0.13                      
92 10-08-2010 Away    L   *  59.81   3  29   3A  8 ( 70- 32-  0) West Delaware         -13.86    -12.14                      
93 10-15-2010 Home    W * *  84.02  30  28   3A 10 ( 77- 31-  0) Decorah                10.36     -8.36                      
94 10-22-2010 Home    W * *  96.41  49  21   3A 35 ( 46- 48-  0) Charles City           22.75      5.25                      
95 10-27-2010 Away    W      96.81  37   6   3A 46 ( 41- 53-  0) Webster City           23.15      7.85                      
96 11-01-2010 Away    L * *  61.08   7  31   3A 10 ( 77- 31-  0) Decorah               -12.58    -11.42                      
      Averages              73.87  21.7 20.9

Best game:  130.54 = 57 point win over Cresco Crestwood
Worst game:  30.36 = 56 point loss to Clear Lake
Team stdev:  21.57