BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

-----------------------------------------------

Waverly-Shell Rock

Class: 3A Class Rank: 25 Conference: 3A-4 Record: (21-24-0) Overall: (49-47-0) Overall Strength =   73.86

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/31/2001 Home    W    88.40  32  30   2A   3 ( 93- 20-  0) North Fayette          14.74    -12.74                      
  2 09/07/2001 Away    W * 106.80  21   0   3A   9 ( 70- 32-  0) West Delaware          33.15    -12.15                      
  3 09/14/2001 Home    L *  76.02   0   6   3A  11 ( 77- 31-  0) Decorah                 2.36     -8.36                      
  4 09/21/2001 Away    W *  98.49  37  13   3A  28 ( 47- 46-  0) Waukon                 24.84     -0.84                      
  5 09/28/2001 Away    W *  69.50  27  14   3A  58 ( 16- 74-  0) Independence           -4.16     17.16                      
  6 10/05/2001 Home    W    81.13  14  12   2A   5 ( 61- 39-  0) New Hampton             7.48     -5.48                      
  7 10/12/2001 Home    W *  73.92  12  10   3A  26 ( 48- 47-  0) Oelwein                 0.26      1.74                      
  8 10/19/2001 Away    W *  98.59  29   7   3A  22 ( 48- 46-  0) Cresco Crestwood       24.93     -2.93                      
  9 10/26/2001 Home    W    83.57  28   7   2A  23 ( 46- 51-  0) Waterloo Columbus       9.92     11.08                      
 10 10/31/2001 Home    W * 103.75  42  21   3A   9 ( 70- 32-  0) West Delaware          30.09     -9.09                      
 11 11/05/2001 Away    L    47.09   0  27   3A  30 ( 50- 43-  0) Western Dubuque       -26.56     -0.44                      
 12 09/06/2002 Home    W   102.40  28  12   2A   3 ( 93- 20-  0) North Fayette          28.74    -12.74                      
 13 09/13/2002 Away    W * 106.07  28   7   3A  11 ( 77- 31-  0) Decorah                32.42    -11.42                      
 14 09/20/2002 Away    W    73.67  14   0   2A  37 ( 24- 66-  0) Forest City             0.01     13.99                      
 15 09/27/2002 Home    W   104.57  48   6   2A  23 ( 46- 51-  0) Waterloo Columbus      30.92     11.08                      
 16 10/04/2002 Away    W * 105.46  40   6   3A  36 ( 46- 48-  0) Charles City           31.80      2.20                      
 17 10/11/2002 Away    L    57.19   6  31   2A   5 ( 61- 39-  0) New Hampton           -16.47     -8.53                      
 18 10/18/2002 Home    W    96.74  40   6   3A  46 ( 41- 53-  0) Webster City           23.09     10.91                      
 19 10/25/2002 Home    W   113.99  67  13   3A  51 ( 44- 51-  0) Hampton-Dumont         40.33     13.67                      
 20 11/01/2002 Away    L    62.40   0  27   3A   5 ( 99- 17-  0) Clear Lake            -11.25    -15.75                      
 21 09/05/2003 Away    W   115.45  39  13   2A   3 ( 93- 20-  0) North Fayette          41.80    -15.80                      
 22 09/12/2003 Home    L *  73.02   7  16   3A  11 ( 77- 31-  0) Decorah                -0.64     -8.36                      
 23 09/19/2003 Home    W    90.61  40   6   2A  37 ( 24- 66-  0) Forest City            16.95     17.05                      
 24 09/26/2003 Away    W    80.63  28  13   2A  23 ( 46- 51-  0) Waterloo Columbus       6.97      8.03                      
 25 10/03/2003 Home    L *  63.40   7  12   3A  36 ( 46- 48-  0) Charles City          -10.25      5.25                      
 26 10/10/2003 Home    W    82.13  22  19   2A   5 ( 61- 39-  0) New Hampton             8.48     -5.48                      
 27 10/17/2003 Away    L    62.80  21  24   3A  46 ( 41- 53-  0) Webster City          -10.86      7.86                      
 28 10/24/2003 Away    W    92.05  48  19   3A  51 ( 44- 51-  0) Hampton-Dumont         18.39     10.61                      
 29 10/31/2003 Home    L    76.35  11  21   3A   5 ( 99- 17-  0) Clear Lake              2.69    -12.69                      
 30 09/03/2004 Away    L    57.45   3  35   2A   3 ( 93- 20-  0) North Fayette         -16.20    -15.80                      
 31 09/10/2004 Home    L    59.37  14  21   ZZ  47 ( 21- 16-  0) Iowa Falls            -14.29      7.29                      
 32 09/17/2004 Home    L *  57.44   6  20   3A  28 ( 47- 46-  0) Waukon                -16.22      2.22                      
 33 09/24/2004 Away    L *  52.50  15  19   3A  58 ( 16- 74-  0) Independence          -21.16     17.16                      
 34 10/01/2004 Away    L *  55.59   7  28   3A  22 ( 48- 46-  0) Cresco Crestwood      -18.07     -2.93                      
 35 10/08/2004 Home    W    82.13  17  14   2A   5 ( 61- 39-  0) New Hampton             8.48     -5.48                      
 36 10/15/2004 Home    L *  76.02   7  13   3A  11 ( 77- 31-  0) Decorah                 2.36     -8.36                      
 37 10/22/2004 Away    W *  75.46  19  15   3A  36 ( 46- 48-  0) Charles City            1.80      2.20                      
 38 10/29/2004 Away    W *  85.97  25  14   3A  26 ( 48- 47-  0) Oelwein                12.32     -1.32                      
 39 09/02/2005 Home    L    40.40   0  46   2A   3 ( 93- 20-  0) North Fayette         -33.26    -12.74                      
 40 09/09/2005 Away    W    85.91  34   7   2A  39 ( 21- 34-  0) Iowa Falls-Alden       12.25     14.75                      
 41 09/16/2005 Away    L *  47.49  13  40   3A  28 ( 47- 46-  0) Waukon                -26.16     -0.84                      
 42 09/23/2005 Home    W *  79.44  26   0   3A  58 ( 16- 74-  0) Independence            5.79     20.21                      
 43 09/30/2005 Home    L *  72.53  21  22 2 3A  22 ( 48- 46-  0) Cresco Crestwood       -1.12      0.12                      
 44 10/07/2005 Away    L    62.19  21  41   2A   5 ( 61- 39-  0) New Hampton           -11.47     -8.53                      
 45 10/14/2005 Away    L *  56.07  19  48   3A  11 ( 77- 31-  0) Decorah               -17.58    -11.42                      
 46 10/21/2005 Home    L *  53.40   6  21   3A  36 ( 46- 48-  0) Charles City          -20.25      5.25                      
 47 10/28/2005 Home    L *  52.92  13  32   3A  26 ( 48- 47-  0) Oelwein               -20.74      1.74                      
 48 09/01/2006 Away    L    48.45   0  41   2A   3 ( 93- 20-  0) North Fayette         -25.20    -15.80                      
 49 09/08/2006 Home    L *  43.44  14  24   3A  58 ( 16- 74-  0) Independence          -30.21     20.21                      
 50 09/15/2006 Away    L *  59.59  13  30   3A  22 ( 48- 46-  0) Cresco Crestwood      -14.07     -2.93                      
 51 09/22/2006 Home    L    49.35   6  43   3A   5 ( 99- 17-  0) Clear Lake            -24.31    -12.69                      
 52 09/29/2006 Home    L    74.13  10  15   2A   5 ( 61- 39-  0) New Hampton             0.48     -5.48                      
 53 10/06/2006 Away    W    75.67  24   8   2A  37 ( 24- 66-  0) Forest City             2.01     13.99                      
 54 10/13/2006 Away    L *  32.49  13  55   3A  28 ( 47- 46-  0) Waukon                -41.16     -0.84                      
 55 10/20/2006 Home    L *  51.02   7  38   3A  11 ( 77- 31-  0) Decorah               -22.64     -8.36                      
 56 10/27/2006 Away    L *  64.46  21  28   3A  36 ( 46- 48-  0) Charles City           -9.20      2.20                      
 57 08/31/2007 Home    L    66.40   0  20   2A   3 ( 93- 20-  0) North Fayette          -7.26    -12.74                      
 58 09/07/2007 Away    W *  98.50  42   0   3A  58 ( 16- 74-  0) Independence           24.84     17.16                      
 59 09/14/2007 Home    W *  86.53  13   0   3A  22 ( 48- 46-  0) Cresco Crestwood       12.88      0.12                      
 60 09/21/2007 Away    W   103.40  21   7   3A   5 ( 99- 17-  0) Clear Lake             29.75    -15.75                      
 61 09/28/2007 Away    W   102.19  27   7   2A   5 ( 61- 39-  0) New Hampton            28.53     -8.53                      
 62 10/05/2007 Home    W    90.61  54  20   2A  37 ( 24- 66-  0) Forest City            16.95     17.05                      
 63 10/12/2007 Home    L *  53.44  14  32   3A  28 ( 47- 46-  0) Waukon                -20.22      2.22                      
 64 10/19/2007 Away    W * 102.07  27  10   3A  11 ( 77- 31-  0) Decorah                28.42    -11.42                      
 65 10/26/2007 Home    W *  76.40  15   7   3A  36 ( 46- 48-  0) Charles City            2.75      5.25                      
 66 10/31/2007 Home    W    78.58  10   7   3A  16 ( 55- 38-  0) Van Horne Benton        4.92     -1.92                      
 67 11/06/2007 Neutral L    48.13  28  49   3A  37 ( 41- 55-  0) Tama South Tama       -25.53      4.53                      
 68 08/29/2008 Away    L *  65.07   7  27   3A  11 ( 77- 31-  0) Decorah                -8.58    -11.42  non-district        
 69 09/05/2008 Home    L    67.40  13  32   2A   3 ( 93- 20-  0) North Fayette          -6.26    -12.74  non-district        
 70 09/12/2008 Home    W    62.99  38  35   3A  51 ( 44- 51-  0) Hampton-Dumont        -10.67     13.67                      
 71 09/19/2008 Away    L    53.40  12  48   3A   5 ( 99- 17-  0) Clear Lake            -20.25    -15.75                      
 72 09/26/2008 Away    L    49.21  12  28   3A  48 ( 36- 56-  0) Algona                -24.45      8.45                      
 73 10/03/2008 Home    L    55.74  14  21   3A  46 ( 41- 53-  0) Webster City          -17.91     10.91                      
 74 10/10/2008 Home    W    62.61  35  29   2A  37 ( 24- 66-  0) Forest City           -11.05     17.05                      
 75 10/17/2008 Away    L *  58.46  20  33   3A  36 ( 46- 48-  0) Charles City          -15.20      2.20                      
 76 10/24/2008 Away    W    60.91  29  27   2A  39 ( 21- 34-  0) Iowa Falls-Alden      -12.75     14.75                      
 77 08/28/2009 Home    L *  77.02   7  12   3A  11 ( 77- 31-  0) Decorah                 3.36     -8.36  nd                  
 78 09/04/2009 Away    L    54.45  18  53   2A   3 ( 93- 20-  0) North Fayette         -19.20    -15.80  nd                  
 79 09/11/2009 Away    L    50.05   6  19   3A  51 ( 44- 51-  0) Hampton-Dumont        -23.61     10.61                      
 80 09/18/2009 Home    L    30.35   0  56   3A   5 ( 99- 17-  0) Clear Lake            -43.31    -12.69                      
 81 09/25/2009 Home    W    81.15  34  15   3A  48 ( 36- 56-  0) Algona                  7.49     11.51                      
 82 10/02/2009 Away    L    30.80   0  35   3A  46 ( 41- 53-  0) Webster City          -42.86      7.86                      
 83 10/09/2009 Away    W    61.67  21  19   2A  37 ( 24- 66-  0) Forest City           -11.99     13.99                      
 84 10/16/2009 Home    L *  64.40  25  29   3A  36 ( 46- 48-  0) Charles City           -9.25      5.25                      
 85 10/23/2009 Home    L    54.85  41  42   2A  39 ( 21- 34-  0) Iowa Falls-Alden      -18.80     17.80                      
 86 08/27/2010 Home    W    92.53  48  14   2A  34 ( 37- 54-  0) Denver                 18.88     15.12  ND                  
 87 09/03/2010 Away    W   110.63  48   3   2A  23 ( 46- 51-  0) Waterloo Columbus      36.97      8.03  ND                  
 88 09/10/2010 Away    W *  69.50  34  21   3A  58 ( 16- 74-  0) Independence           -4.16     17.16                      
 89 09/17/2010 Home    W *  81.92  24  14   3A  26 ( 48- 47-  0) Oelwein                 8.26      1.74                      
 90 09/24/2010 Away    W * 123.49  56   7   3A  28 ( 47- 46-  0) Waukon                 49.84     -0.84                      
 91 10/01/2010 Home    W * 130.53  57   0   3A  22 ( 48- 46-  0) Cresco Crestwood       56.88      0.12                      
 92 10/08/2010 Away    L *  59.80   3  29   3A   9 ( 70- 32-  0) West Delaware         -13.85    -12.15                      
 93 10/15/2010 Home    W *  84.02  30  28   3A  11 ( 77- 31-  0) Decorah                10.36     -8.36                      
 94 10/22/2010 Home    W *  96.40  49  21   3A  36 ( 46- 48-  0) Charles City           22.75      5.25                      
 95 10/27/2010 Away    W    96.80  37   6   3A  46 ( 41- 53-  0) Webster City           23.14      7.86                      
 96 11/01/2010 Away    L *  61.07   7  31   3A  11 ( 77- 31-  0) Decorah               -12.58    -11.42                      
      Averages              73.86  21.7 20.9

Best game:  130.53 = 57 point win over Cresco Crestwood
Worst game:  30.35 = 56 point loss to Clear Lake
Team stdev:  21.57